Original Article |
1 Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Imperial College London;
2 Division of Clinical Epidemiology, German Cancer Research Centre, Heidelberg, Germany;
3 Institute of Pathology, University of Würzburg, Würzburg, Germany;
4 Institute of Cancer Epidemiology, Danish Cancer Society, Copenhagen, Denmark;
5 Department of Haematology, Aalborg Hospital, Aarhus University Hospital, Aalborg, Denmark
6 Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Aalborg Hospital, Aarhus University Hospital, Aalborg, Denmark;
7 Department of Epidemiology, German Institute of Human Nutrition, Potsdam, Germany;
8 Department of Hygiene and Epidemiology, School of Medicine, University of Athens, Greece;
9 Molecular and Nutritional Epidemiology Unit, CSPO -Scientific Institute of Tuscany, Florence, Italy;
10 Department of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, Federico II University, Naples, Italy;
11 Nutritional Epidemiology Unit, National Cancer Institute, Milan, Italy;
12 Cancer Registry, Azienda Ospedaliera "Civile MP Arezzo", Ragusa, Italy;
13 Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Netherlands;
14 National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Centre for Nutrition and Health, Bilthoven, The Netherlands;
15 Institute of Community Medicine, University of Tromsø, Tromsø, Norway;
16 Public Health Institute of Navarra, Pamplona, Spain;
17 Epidemiology Department, Murcia Health Council, Spain;
18 Epidemiology Unit, Catalan Institute of Oncology (ICO-IDIBELL), Barcelona, Spain;
19 Department of Public Health of Gipuzkoa, San Sebastian, Spain;
20 Public Health Directorate and Health Planning, Asturias, Spain;
21 The Andalusian School of Public Health, Granada, Spain;
22 Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Nutrition. Umeå University, Sweden;
23 Department of Clinical Sciences, Malmö University Hospital, Malmö, Sweden;
24 Dept. of Surgery, Malmö University Hospital, Malmö, Sweden;
25 Cancer Research UK, Epidemiology Unit, University of Oxford, UK;
26 MRC Centre for Nutritional Epidemiology in Cancer Prevention and Survival, Department of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Cambridge, UK;
27 Clinical Gerontology, Department of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Cambridge, UK;
28 Nutrition and Hormones Group, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France;
29 Gene-Environment Epidemiology Group, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France
Correspondence: Aneire E. Khan, Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Division of Epidemiology, Public Health and Primary Care, Imperial College London, St Marys Campus, Variety Wing, Norfolk Place, Paddington, London W2 1PG. E-mail:aneire.khan{at}imperial.ac.uk
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Design and Methods: In the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC), 1,213 histologically confirmed incident cases of non-Hodgkins lymphoma and multiple myeloma (594 men; 619 women) were identified during a follow-up of 8.5 years. Cox proportional hazard models were used to explore the association between self-reported diabetes, diagnosed after 30 years of age, and the risk of non-Hodgkins lymphoma overall and multiple myeloma and various lymphoma subtypes.
Results: We found no association between a personal history of diabetes and the risk of non-Hodgkins lymphoma overall in men (HR: 1.28, 95% CI: 0.89–1.84), in women (HR: 0.71, 95% CI: 0.41– 1.24), or in men and women combined (HR: 1.09, 95% CI: 0.80–1.47). Among the B-non-Hodgkins lymphoma subtypes, we observed a statistically significant increased risk of B-cell chronic lymphocytic leukemia (HR: 2.0, 95% CI: 1.04–3.86) in men, but not in women (HR: 1.07, 95% CI: 0.33–3.43).
Conclusions: This prospective study did not provide evidence for a role of self-reported diabetes in the etiology of non-Hodgkins lymphoma overall or multiple myeloma. We found an increased risk of B-cell chronic lymphocytic leukemia among men with diabetes, but not among women. We hypothesize that diabetes may not play a causal role in the etiology of B-cell chronic lymphocytic leukemia, though the underlying pathogenic mechanisms of both disorders may include shared genetic, host and/or environmental susceptibility factors.
Key words: non-Hodgkins lymphoma, diabetes, cohort study.
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The strongest risk factors for NHL include rare conditions entailing severe immune suppression, such as hereditary and acquired immunodeficiency syndromes, in which risk is about 10 to 100 times higher than that of the general population.5 Epstein-Barr virus (EBV), Helicobacter pylori, human T-cell lymphotropic virus-1 (HTLV), hepatitis C virus and, more recently, hepatitis B virus are pathogens that have been linked to an increased risk of NHL. Use of various medications such as oral contraceptives, estrogen replacement therapy, anti-convulsant drugs, and various steroids6,7 have also been suggested to be associated with NHL. Recent evidence suggests that dietary or lifestyle habits, such as smoking and alcohol consumption, might also modify the risk of NHL. Factors that have been associated with MM include high doses of ionizing radiation, and occupational exposure in farming and petrochemical industries. 8 The role of chronic antigenic stimulation in the etiology of MM has also been investigated.8
In addition, as possible conditions predisposing to NHL, autoimmune and inflammatory conditions, such as systemic lupus erythematosus, rheumatoid arthritis, celiac disease and Sjo
grens syndrome, have been observed to increase the risk of NHL in a number of studies,9,10 while psoriasis and inflammatory bowel disorders have not been consistently associated. These diseases are characterized by dysregulated lymphocyte reactivity against self-antigens and the production of autoantibodies.9 Some researchers have hypothesized that the ongoing abnormal lymphocyte activation in immunosuppressed states could predispose to NHL.
Diabetes is a common, increasing frequent health condition associated with a wide range of metabolic, immunological, and hormonal aberrations.11 Recent observations indicate that autoimmunity plays a role in type 2 diabetes.12 This condition has been described as an acute-phase disease of the innate immune system, in which oversecretion of cytokines may contribute to the development of insulin resistance and impairment of insulin secretion in pancreatic β-cells.12 Approximately 135 million people worldwide are affected by type 2 diabetes and the number of adults with diabetes in the world is expected to rise to at least 300 million by 2025, making it a serious public health concern.13 An increased risk of cancer, in particular pancreatic cancer, liver cancer, breast cancer, MM, and cancer of the endometrium among patients with diabetes has been observed in several studies.11,14–16 The proposed biological mechanism relates to insulin resistance, a prediagnostic stage of type 2 diabetes, and insulin-like growth factors, both of which have been shown to stimulate tumor cell proliferation in experiments.17–20
Epidemiological studies exploring the role of type 2 diabetes in the etiology of NHL have yielded inconsistent results. Two of the four cohort studies found an elevated risk of NHL5,11,21 among diabetic individuals. Four population and hospital-based case-control studies also demonstrated positive associations,22–25 while five others reported no or inverse associations.26–29 The inconsistency of the findings to date may partly be attributed to differences in study design, lack of information on potential confounders, use of inappropriate comparison populations and ascertainment of cases from cancer or mortality registries.
The aim of this study was to take advantage of a large prospective study to evaluate the association between a personal history of diabetes and the risk of NHL and MM and various lymphoma subtypes in Europe.
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The study design and methods for collecting baseline data have been described in detail elsewhere by Riboli et al.30 All eligible participants provided written informed consent. Approval for the EPIC study was obtained from the ethical review boards of the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) and local participating centers.
Study population
Of the 521,457 eligible participants, we excluded participants if they were prevalent cases of cancer at any site at the time of enrolment, participants with missing data on lifestyle and dietary questionnaire, or those who were in the top or bottom 1% of the ratio of energy intake to estimated energy requirement, which was calculated from body weight, height and age (n=41,604). Participants were also excluded if they were members of the French cohort because case ascertainment was incomplete in France (n=69,426). We further excluded 65 cases with Hodgkins disease and 29 uncertain lymphoma cases, as well as all participants with missing data on diabetes (n=16,856). The current analyses are related to a total of 393,477 EPIC participants and 1,213 incident cases of NHL (594 men, 619 women).
Assessment of end-points
Incident lymphoma cases were identified through population cancer registries in Denmark, Italy, the Netherlands, Norway, Spain, Sweden, and the United Kingdom, and through active follow-up in Germany and Greece. Active follow-up methods included health insurance records, cancer and pathology hospital registries, and directly contacting participants or next of kin. Mortality data were obtained from cancer or mortality registries at the regional or national level. Follow-up began at the date of recruitment and ended at either the date of diagnosis of lymphoma, death or last complete follow-up. Date of complete follow-up varied for the different study centers. Participants were censored as follows: December 2002 (Granada); December 2003 (Florence, Varese, Naples; Murcia; Bilthoven; Aarhus, Copenhagen), December 2004 (Ragusa, Turin; Asturias, Navarra; Cambridge, Oxford; Utrecht; Malmö; Norway); June 2005 (Umeå); December 2005 (San Sebastian). For Germany and Greece, the end of the follow-up was considered to be the last known contact, date of diagnosis, or date of death, whichever came first.
Lymphoma cases were initially identified according to the second revision of the International Classification of Disease for Oncology (ICD-O-2). All cases were subsequently recoded using the WHO classification system of tumors of hematopoietic and lymphoid tissue, which is based on ICD-O-3.31 The conversion was made with the help of a web-based program available from the SEER webpage and involved expertise of a pathologist (TR) as well as experts from the EPIC centers (see Appendix, and also a publication by Morton et al.32). Cases in which ICD-O-2 codes could not be translated unequivocally into a lymphoma diagnosis according to the WHO classification system were categorized as lymphomas unclassified ("nos").
In the current analyses, we considered the following subtypes of NHL: overall NHL including MM; within NHL the B-cell lymphomas (B-NHL) and T-cell lymphomas (T-NHL), and among B-NHL the subtypes diffuse large B-cell lymphomas, follicular lymphomas, Bcell chronic lymphocytic leukemia (B-CLL) and MM. Other rare subtypes were not considered because of the small number of cases.
Assessment of exposure
Information on socio-demographics, lifestyle characteristics and medical history, were collected via questionnaire at the time of entry into the study. Diabetes status was self-reported and was obtained through a questionnaire in which participants were asked if they had ever been diagnosed with diabetes and if so, at what age. No distinction was made between the types of diabetes. However, it is likely that the vast majority of them were type 2 diabetics, as most diagnoses were made after the age of 30. Information on the use of insulin treatment was also obtained at baseline through a questionnaire.
Detailed information was obtained on smoking status (life-long non-smoker; current smoker <15 per day, 15–24 per day, >25 per day; past smoker <10 years; past smoker >10 years; other smoker including pipes and cigars), alcohol intake in grams per day (no ethanol, <5 grams per day, 5–14 grams per day, 15–29 grams per day, >30 grams per day), level of education (no degree or primary school, technical or professional school, secondary school, university degree), occupation, age at puberty and reproductive history, use of contraception and hormonal drugs, current illnesses and history of previous illnesses including surgical operations. Assessment of physical activity included household, recreational and occupational activities. Average metabolic equivalent-hours (MET-hr) were derived for recreational and household activities, based on the types and durations of activities reported separately for summer and winter. Physical activity was coded by crossclassifying participants on the basis of sex-specific quartiles of recreational and household activities and categories of occupational activity, and was coded as inactive, moderately inactive, moderately active and active.
Participants height and weight were measured at baseline, except in Norway and Oxford, where selfreported height and weight were obtained via questionnaire. Body mass index (BMI) was calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in squared meters. BMI was split into categories using WHO cutoff points33 as follows: underweight < 18.50, normal 18.50 – 24.99, overweight 25 – 29.99 and obese
30. There were few underweight participants in the cohort and therefore, underweight and normal categories were collapsed and used as the reference group in both men and women. Waist circumference was split into two categories, according to the International Diabetes Federations (IDF)34,35 definition of central obesity, using ethnic-specific cut-points for European men and women. The waist to hip ratio was calculated as waist circumference divided by hip circumference, measured to the nearest 0.5 cm.
Statistical analyses
Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Age was the primary time variable in all models. Age at entry was defined as the participants age at recruitment and exit time was age at diagnosis of lymphoma, death, loss to follow-up or censoring at the end of the follow-up period, whichever came first. A likelihood ratio test was carried out to check for interactions by including a cross-product term for gender and diabetes. Models were stratified by study Center and age at EPIC study recruitment in 1-year categories, in order to control for differences in questionnaire design, follow-up procedures, and other center effects. We obtained crude risk estimates of NHL for the following potential confounders: physical activity, smoking status, alcohol intake, level of education, medical history of hyperlipidemia, hypertension, as well as anthropometric measurements including height, weight, BMI, waist to hip ratio, and waist circumference. To calculate p values for trends across quintiles of anthropometric variables and categories of socio-demographic variables, participants were assigned a score according to their quintile or category which was entered as a continuous term in the Cox regression models. Participants with missing responses for a specific variable were excluded from a given analysis. A covariate was considered a confounder if there was at least a 10% change in the risk estimate for NHL and its subtypes when models were compared with and without the covariate term. In addition, likelihood ratio tests were carried out to check for confounders. Inclusion of any of the adjustment variables did not alter risk estimates appreciably and were not included in the final Cox model. However, we also present risk estimates corrected for BMI and smoking status.
We confirmed the proportional hazards assumption for diabetes status in relation to NHL using the likelihood ratio test, comparing models with and without product terms for diabetes and follow-up time (years). All statistical tests were two-sided, and a p value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. Analyses were performed using Stata version 9.2.
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Table 1. Frequency of non-Hodgkins lymphoma (including multiple myeloma) subtypes and diabetes status by country among 139,431 men and 254,046 women in the EPIC study.
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Table 2. Baseline characteristics of 139,431 male and 254,046 female participants in EPIC by diabetes status.
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Table 3. Relative risk (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the development of non-Hodgkins lymphoma (including MM) among 139,431 men and 253,427 women in the EPIC study.
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Risk of lymphoma subtypes
Among the subtypes, we did not observe an association between diabetes and overall B-NHL, although hazard ratios were slightly elevated for men (Table 4). We observed a statistically positive association between diabetes and the risk of B-CLL in men (HR: 2.0, 95% CI: 1.04–3.86), but not in women (HR: 1.07, 95% CI: 0.33–3.43). Among other B-NHL subtypes, increased risks were generally observed for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma, follicular lymphoma and MM among men, although these increases did not reach statistical significance. In women, non-significant reduced risks were observed for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma and follicular lymphoma. There was no statistically significant relationship between diabetes and risk of TNHL in men or women (Table 4).
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Table 4. Relative risk (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for non-Hodgkins lymphoma subtypes among 139,431 men and 253,427 women in the EPIC study.
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Our study exploring the relationship between a personal history of diabetes and risk of NHL and MM in Europe has some important merits. A major strength includes the prospective nature of the study, which included a large number of participants from the general population. NHL cases were histologically confirmed primary incident cancers, systematically classified according to the WHO classification of tumors of hematopoietic and lymphoid tissue, an internationally recognized classification scheme. Histological confirmation also allowed us to investigate various subtypes of NHL, which is important because of possible etiological heterogeneity among them. Other strengths of the study include a comprehensive follow-up of the cohort, an extensive evaluation of confounding factors, such as anthropometric and socio-demographic variables, and use of a validated protocol to assess body fat distribution. A large range of lifestyle risk factors were assessed, which enabled us to evaluate confounding by known and potential risk factors.
In our study, diabetes was self-reported, raising the question of misclassification of diabetes status. However, we do not think this was a major concern because type 2 diabetes is a condition that patients are generally aware of and evaluations of the validity of self-reported diabetes status have suggested good to very good agreement between self-reports and medical records.17 No distinction was made between the type of diabetes diagnosed, whether type 1 or type 2, or according to the severity of the disease. Type 1 diabetes does not involve hyperinsulinemia and has not been considered in the etiology of NHL. As mentioned before, we carried out separate analyses excluding participants aged <30 years at the time of their diagnosis of diabetes (n=886) and the risk estimates did not change appreciably. We, therefore, think that it is unlikely that biases occurred in this regard. Associations may change with a longer follow-up period. A case-control study by Vineis et al., which took into consideration different latency periods between the diagnoses of diabetes and NHL, did, however, show that NHL risk was not associated with a longer duration of diabetes.26 Finally, inferences from risk estimates for specific NHL subtypes may have been hampered by small numbers.
Risk of lymphoma overall
Diabetes has not been consistently associated with a risk of NHL in previous studies. This study concurs with the results of seven cohort and case-control studies that have investigated this association. Ragozzino et al.21 initially reported increased risk for lymphoma among diabetics in a prospective cohort of residents in Minnesota, USA, but subsequent reanalyses36 found no association. Adami et al.,16 in another cohort study with a long follow-up of 26 years, found no association between diabetes and hematopoietic cancer among men or women, calculated after a 1-year latency. On the other hand, a cohort study11 of just over 2,000 Danish men and women found an increased risk of developing tumors of the lymphatic and hematopoietic tissues in diabetic patients. Five population and hospital-based case-control studies reported no or inverse associations.26–29 Although results are contradictory, the bulk of evidence published to date suggests no association of diabetes with overall NHL risk.
Insulin treatment
Use of insulin treatment has been rising along with the prevalence of diabetes. In our study, we found a weak inverse relation between insulin treatment and risk of developing NHL, which is consistent with the findings of studies by Fortuny et al.23 and Zhang et al.37 It has been suggested that this effect may be related to continuous stimulation of the immune system by insulin,23 which is chronically inoculated several times a day. In such a case, longer duration of insulin use should be related to greater protection from NHL, because of stronger immune system stimulation by older insulins of animal origin. However, we could not reach any conclusions about use of insulin and lymphoma risk from the data in our study. Treatment effects could be confounded by the duration of the disease and our findings may be due to chance or sparse data.
Lymphoma subtypes
In our analyses, diabetes was associated with the subsequent risk of B-CLL in men. We also found suggestive positive associations between diabetes and the risk of overall B-cell lymphomas, diffuse large B-cell and follicular lymphomas and MM among men, but these results were not statistically significant. It is not clear why such associations were stronger for men than for women. Among previous studies, type 2 diabetes was observed to increase the risk of MM,23 but not B-CLL.
B-CLL is a neoplastic disease characterized by the accumulation of small, mature-appearing lymphocytes in blood, bone marrow, and lymphoid tissues.38 A family history of CLL or other hematolymphoproliferative cancers, and exposure to some environmental and occupational factors, such as pesticides and ionizing radiation, have been suggested as risk factors for CLL. To our knowledge, the potential role of type 2 diabetes has not been investigated specifically in the etiology of B-CLL, but the phenomenon of autoimmunity has been inconsistently linked to B-CLL in previous epidemiologiced studies,10,38,39 implying that there is some evidence of familial aggregation patterns for CLL. In support of a role of autoimmunity in type 2 diabetes, Pietropaolo et al. reported the presence of islet cell autoimmunity associated with an impairment of the acute-phase insulin secretion in type 2 diabetic patients.12 It has been suggested that cytokines such as tumor necrosis factor-
might contribute to the development of insulin resistance in type 2 diabetes by inhibiting the tyrosine kinase activity of insulin receptors, and that interleukins may promote an impairment of insulin secretion in pancreatic β-cells.12
It is difficult to tease out a possible causal sequence between type 2 diabetes and B-CLL. On the one hand, a possible biological link may be mediated through cytokine activity. There is substantial evidence suggesting that excess fat activates the production of cytokines, which may induce insulin resistance. Interleukin-6, a pleiotropic cytokine expressed by a variety of different cell types, including lymphoid and endothelial cells, fibroblasts, skeletal muscle, and adipose tissue, is involved in the regulation of energy balance. 40 Circulating levels of interleukin-6 are raised in insulin-resistant states, such as obesity, which has also been linked with an increased risk of NHL.41 A common polymorphism in the interleukin-6 gene has been associated with insulin resistance42 and may predict the development of type 2 diabetes. Interleukin-6 has been implicated in the neoplastic process of a variety of malignancies, including prostate43 and pancreatic cancer. 44 Because cytokines control lymphoid cell development and differentiation, cytokine activity might influence the pathogenesis of NHL. Interleukin-6 promotes normal plasma cell development and proliferation of myeloma cells in culture, and has been associated with an increased risk of plasma cell neoplasms.45 Cozen et al. found that the variant allele of the interleukin promoter single nucleotide polymorphism -572 was associated with a 2-fold increased risk of plasma cell neoplasms, compared to the risk in family and population controls.45 Increased concentrations of interleukin-6 and interleukin-12 were also found in blood plasma, culture supernatant and isolated and broken lymphocytes from patients with B-CLL.46
On the other hand, B-CLL patients have been observed to develop autoimmune diseases, frequently, implying immune dysregulation.47 It has been postulated that the association of certain autoimmune diseases with B-CLL reflects reverse causality due to undetected cases of CLL manifesting in patients who express autoimmune disorders as their first symptom. This hypothesis is based on the rationale that during the course of B-CLL, some degree of activation of B cells may lead to an autoimmune disorder in CLL. The source of the autoantibodies is either uncontrolled production of malignant B cells or disturbances of residual normal B cells involved in the immune system.48
We, however, hypothesize that diabetes may not play a causal role in the etiology of B-CLL, but that the two diseases may share a common pathway in the early stages of development, or may have common genetic or environmental etiological factors. Common factors, such as obesity, diet, physical activity and other lifestyle habits, may play a role in the development of both B-CLL and type 2 diabetes. Obesity is closely related to diabetes in terms of etiology, which is best demonstrated by the increase in plasma concentrations of inflammatory mediators, such as C-reactive protein and interleukin-6, in both conditions. In such a case, inflammatory conditions may be markers of impaired immunological states and an indicator of the risk, rather than a cause. Studies on markers of inflammation and adipose tissue biology will help us to understand the pathogenesis and the consequences of these conditions better.
In conclusion, we found no evidence that type 2 diabetes plays a causal role in the development of NHL overall. The positive association of self-reported diabetes with B-CLL in men should be interpreted with caution, because of the small numbers involved. Given the large size of the cohort and the prospective nature of the study design, it is unlikely that the study had major biases. In future, focusing on lifestyle factors, such as diet and physical activity, may be of help to elucidate the etiology of lymphomas. In addition, research on biomarkers focusing on insulin, the family of insulin-like growth factors, and blood glucose levels should also help to clarify whether a biological mechanism links the metabolic abnormalities, characterized by type 2 diabetes, to carcinogenesis.
AK takes taking primary responsibility for the paper. She conducted the statistical analyses and wrote the manuscript; VG contributed to the study design and statistical analyses; PV supervised the project and monitored all statistical analyses, RK, RCHV, PB, NB and KTK provided data for analyses and contributed to the text; JL, SR, ORN, AT, KO, MMB, VB, TP, AT, GM, AM, SG, RT, PHMP, HBBdM, ELEA, M-DC, AN, CM-G, AA, GH, GB, JM, TJK, NEA, SB, NS, TN, MMB, HB, VB and TP provided data for analyses, ER provided data for analyses and supervised the project. The authors reported no potential conflicts of interest.
Received for publication September 26, 2007. Revision received December 19, 2007. Accepted for publication January 15, 2008.
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