Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia |
1 Genetic Epidemiology Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, NIH, Bethesda, MD, USA
2 Department of Medicine, Division of Hematology, Karolinska University Hospital Solna and Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden
3 Department of Medicine, Section of Hematology, Malmö University Hospital, Malmö, Sweden
Correspondence: Lynn R. Goldin, Ph.D., Genetic Epidemiology Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, 6120 Executive Blvd. Rm 7008, MSC 7236 Bethesda, MD, USA. E-mail:goldinl{at}mail.nih.gov
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Design and Methods: Population-based registry data from Sweden were used to evaluate outcomes in 26,947 first-degree relatives of 9,717 chronic lymphocytic leukemia patients (diagnosed 1958–2004) compared with 107,223 first-degree relatives of 38,159 matched controls. Using a marginal survival model, we calculated relative risks (RR) and 95% confidence intervals as measures of familial aggregation.
Results: Compared to relatives of controls, relatives of chronic lymphocytic leukemia patients had an increased risk for chronic lymphocytic leukemia (RR=8.5, 6.1–11.7) and other non-Hodgkins lymphomas (NHLs) (RR=1.9, 1.5–2.3). Evaluating NHL subtypes, we found a striking excess of indolent B-cell NHL, specifically lymphoplasmacytic lymphoma/Waldenström macroglobulinemia and hairy cell leukemia. No excesses of aggressive B-cell or T-cell lymphomas were found. There was no statistical excess of Hodgkins lymphoma, multiple myeloma, or the precursor condition, monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance, among chronic lymphocytic leukemia relatives.
Conclusions: These familial aggregations are striking and provide novel clues to research designed to uncover early pathogenetic mechanisms in chronic lymphocytic leukemia including studies to identify germ line susceptibility genes. However, clinicians should counsel their chronic lymphocytic leukemia patients emphasizing that because the baseline population risks are low, the absolute risk for a first-degree relative to develop chronic lymphocytic leukemia or another indolent lymphoma is low. At this time, an increased medical surveillance of first-degree relatives of chronic lymphocytic leukemia patients has no role outside research studies.
Key words: chronic lymphocytic leukemia, non-Hodgkins lymphoma, familial risk.
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Using population-based data from Scandinavia, we previously showed that CLL, non-Hodgkins lymphoma (NHL) and Hodgkins lymphoma (HL) aggregated in families.3–5 The risk for CLL was significantly elevated (7.5 fold) in relatives of CLL patients compared to relatives of controls consistent with the high risk seen in the Utah population.6,7 We recently assembled a population-based cohort of lymphoplasmacytic lymphoma (LPL) and Waldenström macroglobulinemia (WM) patients in Sweden. Among relatives of these patients, we found an increased risk for CLL in addition to other LPL/WM and other lymphoma subtypes compared to relatives of controls.8
Familiality of CLL is also supported by case-control studies and studies of high-risk families.9 Among high-risk CLL families that we have accrued in our clinical program,10 relatives with other lymphomas including NHL and WM have been observed.11 All of these studies support the role of germline genes underlying risk of CLL and related malignancies. Regions of the genome likely to contain susceptibility genes have been identified from linkage studies in high-risk families.12 Specific genes have been implicated from candidate gene studies13 and one genome-wide association study.14 However, specific mutations causing susceptibility have not been identified.
To better define patterns of lymphoproliferative malignancies among close family members of CLL patients, and with the overall goal to provide clinicians with meaningful information to counsel CLL patients about familial risks for CLL and related malignancies, we have now extended our previous Swedish CLL registry study3 substantially. Our present study includes nearly twice the number of first-degree relatives of cases as before. Using this very large population-based database, we were able to evaluate familial risk for CLL and for the first time, for specific NHL subtypes. In addition, using a nationwide cohort of patients with monoclonal gammopathy of uncertain significance (MGUS), we assessed the risk of MGUS among relatives of CLL patients. Beyond direct clinical implications of our present study, it also provides important clues of relevance to future research studies designed to uncover the role of predisposition genes in CLL and other hematologic tumors.
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The main reason for lack of linkable relatives was year of birth before 1932. Patients and controls with no link-able relatives were removed from the study. Patients, controls, and relatives were linked to the cancer registry to obtain all cancer outcomes (up to 3 cancer registrations). In an independent study, we also created a cohort of MGUS patients from a national network of hematology-oncology clinics in Sweden.8 From this source, we obtained MGUS outcomes in cases, controls, and relatives.
Since NHL consists of a heterogeneous group of lymphomas, we used available ICD10 and SNOMED codes to classify NHL outcomes according to WHO definitions.16 The Swedish registry codes are based on the Kiel classification17 and it is not possible to define all of the current WHO NHLs based on the Swedish codes. However, WHO provides synonymous definitions across classifications and we used those translations whenever possible. Classification was possible mainly for the more recently diagnosed cases (1974 and later). Because the numbers of specific NHLs were sometimes small, we also grouped them into larger categories including all B-cell, all T-cell, indolent, and aggressive similar to strategies in other population-based analyses.18 We were also able to obtain more complete assessment of LPL/WM in relatives by linking them to our recently created cohort of LPL/WM patients.8 This cohort was assembled from outpatient hematology clinics, Inpatient Hospital Registry (IHR), and Cancer Registry. WM patients from clinics and the IHR were included since we have previously shown that although the diagnostic accuracy of WM is very high, it is underreported to the Cancer Registry,19 probably due to the indolent disease course of many patients.
Statistical methods
The analytic method has been described previously.3,20 We classified relatives as affected if they had a primary cancer registration with the tumor of interest. We model the age at censoring or age at onset of disease in a relative of a proband by a marginal proportional hazards model. Familial aggregation for each condition is evaluated by testing the hazard ratio of being a relative of a case compared with being a relative to a control. The model was fitted using the PHREG procedure in SAS v9.1. Relative risk (RR) is used to denote the hazard ratio defined above, with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Since every case is a proband, families with more than one case appear twice in the dataset. The robust sandwich covariance matrix accounts for these dependencies. We tested separately for increased risk for CLL, NHL, HL, myeloma (MM), and MGUS in relatives, as well as any lymphoproliferative (LP) cancer. Sex was included as a covariate in the model. We also stratified the analyses by gender, type of relative, and early (
65) versus late (>65) age at onset of CLL in the proband. We also computed relative risks for subtypes of NHL in relatives as described above. Since NHL subtypes were available starting only in 1974, we restricted the time period to 1974 and later for risk calculations.
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Table 1. Characteristics of patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia and controls.
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Table 2. Characteristics of first-degree relatives of patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia and controls.
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Figure 1. Age at diagnosis of chronic lymphocytic leukemia (Mean and SD) among relatives of cases (red) and relatives of controls (black) stratified by relative type.
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Table 3. Risks of lymphoproliferative tumors among relatives of patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia versus relatives of controls.1
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Table 4. Relative risks for specific non-Hodgkins lymphoma subtypes.1
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Genetic anticipation is a term that refers to an earlier age at onset or increasing severity of a disease in successive generations. Trinucleotide repeat expansions explain the phenomenon of anticipation in some Mendelian neurodegenerative diseases such as Huntingtons disease, myotonic dystrophy, and spinocerebellar ataxia.22 Epigenetic changes and abnormalities in telomeres have also been suggested as possible mechanisms that may contribute to anticipation in some diseases.23 Anticipation has been widely investigated in complex diseases but findings are often uncertain given the well described truncation bias involved in family studies, where the offspring generation is not followed up as long as the parent generation.24,25 This potential bias is shown in Figure 1 where among familial CLL cases, offspring were diagnosed with CLL at an earlier age than the parent group. However, offspring of controls with CLL had a similar age at diagnosis as offspring of cases indicating that this difference is likely due to differences in follow-up time between generations and not explained by earlier diagnosis in children of parents with CLL. This is consistent with our earlier studies showing no anticipation after correcting for bias in follow-up times.3,26
It is important to consider the clinical implications of our findings. Compared to relatives of controls, first-degree relatives of CLL patients have an 8.5- fold relative risk for developing CLL and are also at an increased risk for developing other indolent forms of NHL. Relatives are at 2.6-fold relative risk for developing any lymphoproliferative tumor. However, because the baseline risk of these conditions in the population is low, the absolute risk of a relative of a CLL patient developing CLL or a related malignancy is still very low. The National Cancer Institute SEER program estimates the lifetime risk of CLL to be about 0.46% and that of other NHLs as a group to be 2.05%.1 We have shown that the increased risk of NHL is limited to indolent B-cell subtypes. Morton et al.18 have tabulated the breakdown of the case numbers of all subtypes of lymphoid malignancies from the SEER registries from 2001–2003. From these data, all of the indolent B-cell NHLs (not including myeloma or CLL) comprise about one half of all NHLs.
One can still question whether there is an advantage in prevention or early detection for a relative knowing that they are at increased risk for CLL. Currently, early detection of CLL is not likely to affect outcome since stage 0 CLL is usually not treated. This is also true for other indolent lymphomas since they are generally not treated in the early stages. Relatives of CLL cases from high-risk families (i.e. families with at least 2 cases of CLL) are at increased risk for having a precursor clone, monoclonal B-cell lymphocytosis (MBL) which is detected by immunophenotyping.27–29 We did not have information about MBL in our registry study so we could not evaluate the general risk of MBL among relatives of CLL cases. However, the transformation rate from MBL to CLL requiring therapy is only about 1% per year30,31 and has been shown to depend on the level of lymphocytosis seen at diagnosis.31,32 These characteristics of CLL make it quite different from other common solid tumors where early detection of the tumor or precursor can affect survival. For example, relatives of patients with colon cancer are at increased risk for developing colon cancer. Consequently, they are advised to be screened for colon cancer at an earlier age and more frequently than individuals at average risk in order to detect tumors or pre-cancerous lesions at a treatable stage.33 In contrast, while relatives of patients with CLL can be informed that they are at higher relative risk for CLL and related lymphomas (compared to family members of unaffected individuals), it should be emphasized that the absolute risk for developing CLL and other hematologic malignancies is very low, there is no treatment for early lesions, and thus no increased medical surveillance is necessary at this time. One exception to this conclusion may be the need to screen for MBL/CLL in a first-degree relative of a CLL patient who is a potential stem cell donor.34 Of importance for future studies designed to uncover susceptibility genes in CLL, for the first time, we evaluated patterns of various lymphoma subtypes among family members of CLL patients and found increased risk for some indolent NHLs. Simultaneously, we did not find risk of aggressive B-cell or T-cell lymphomas to be statically elevated among family members of CLL patients. Neither was there any excess of HL, MM, or the precursor condition MGUS among CLL relatives. Thus, our findings support a role for germline genes specific to CLL (given the high familial risk for CLL alone) and genes shared by CLL and indolent lymphomas. An alternate explanation is that the same genes are involved but lead to higher risk for CLL than other lymphomas. At this time, germline gene mutations have not been identified from linkage studies of large numbers of families making it likely that multiple genes with smaller effects contribute to susceptibility.12 In fact, a recent whole genome association study has identified a few novel gene regions associated with CLL susceptibility.14 Familial aggregation could also, at least in part, be a result of shared environment. Although there are no strongly associated exogenous risk factors for CLL, there is evidence for exposure to a common antigen among CLL cases.2,35 It is unclear if these are auto-antigens or antigens from pathogenic microorganisms. The challenge will be both to identify critical environmental or infectious factors in CLL, host genetic factors and determine how they interact in the pathway to CLL.
Our study has several strengths, including its large size as well as the application of high-quality data from Sweden in a stable population with access to standardized universal medical health care during the entire study period. The use of the nationwide register-based case-control design ruled out recall-bias and ensured a population-based setting. We recently conducted a nationwide validation study of lymphoproliferative malignancies, including 202 CLL cases diagnosed in Sweden 1964–2003.19 In that study, we found a 98% diagnostic accuracy of the Registry. However, we found a rate of approximately 12% underreporting of CLL cases from the hospitals to the Swedish Cancer registry. When we assessed these findings in further detail, we observed the underreporting of CLL to be very constant over all calendar periods. As expected, elderly CLL patients and individuals with more indolent disease were more common in the underreported category. However, the level of underreporting of CLL should be similar in case and control relatives and not lead to bias. Our study has other limitations. We did not have detailed clinical or laboratory data on cases or relatives. It is possible that subtypes of CLL (based on cytogenetics, mutation status, ZAP70, protein expression, gene expression profile, or other factors) show different familial risk patterns. We were not able to evaluate the familial aggregation of MBL with CLL in this population. Finally, our study is limited to one population so the findings may not be applicable to other groups.
In conclusion, we found elevated risk of CLL and related indolent NHLs among first-degree relatives of CLL patients, which supports a role for germ line susceptibility genes, possibly interacting with environmental factors. Clinicians need to keep in mind the low baseline risk of CLL in the general population. When counseling CLL patients about practical implications of the observed 8.5-fold excess relative risks of CLL and the increased risk of related indolent lymphomas among relatives to CLL patients, it must be stressed that the absolute risk for a first-degree relative to develop CLL or another indolent lymphoma is still very low. Based on current clinical knowledge, at this time, an increased medical surveillance of first-degree relatives of CLL patients has no role outside research studies.
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LRG, OL, SYK, MB and IT designed the study and obtained data. LRG analyzed data. All the authors were involved in the interpretation of the results. LRG and OL wrote the paper. All authors read, gave comments, and approved the final version of the manuscript. All the authors had full access to the data in the study and take responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis.
The authors reported no potential conflicts of interest.
Funding: this research was supported by the Intramural Research Program of the NIH, NCI and by grants from the Swedish Cancer Society, Stockholm County Council, and the Karolinska Institutet Foundations.
Received for publication November 17, 2008. Revision received December 29, 2008. Accepted for publication December 31, 2008.
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